使用建模方法预测印度旅游业的发展
Renuka Devi1, Alok Agrawal1, Joydip Dhar2
1Amity School of Applied Sciences, Amity University Uttar Pradesh, Lucknow Campus, Lucknow 226 028, India.
MethodsX
|April 25, 2024
概括
印度旅游业印度旅游业.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 旅游管理 旅游管理
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 印度的旅游和酒店业对其经济至关重要.
- COVID-19 疫情严重影响了旅游业的增长率.
研究的目的:
- 用建模方法分析和理解印度旅游业的增长模式.
- 评估封锁前后国际游客抵达的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用建模方法来分析旅游数据.
- 采用Dickey-Fuller测试,AIC和BIC进行模型选择和准确性分析.
主要成果:
- 确定了影响旅游业的重要因素.
- 预报表明,天气和公共假期是旅游业波动的关键决定因素.
结论:
- 该研究提供了关于印度旅游业动态的见解.
- 了解这些因素对于复苏和未来的增长战略至关重要.
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