暴露于同时发生的热浪和臭氧污染以及与死亡风险的关联:中国的一项全国性研究
Hang Du1,2, Meilin Yan3, Xin Liu4
1China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health (NIEH), Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC), Beijing, China.
Environmental health perspectives
|April 25, 2024
概括
同时出现的热浪和臭氧污染显著增加了中国的死亡风险. 由于这些综合事件造成的过度死亡人数在2017-2020年间急剧上升,凸显了对综合早期预警系统的需求.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 气候变化流行病学 气候变化流行病学
- 公共卫生政策 公共卫生政策
背景情况:
- 气候变化正在增加同时发生的极端天气事件的频率.
- 了解热浪和臭氧污染的死亡负担对于适应至关重要.
- 同时发生的事件构成了重大的公共卫生挑战,需要有针对性的战略.
研究的目的:
- 估计与中国同时发生的热浪和臭氧污染相关的死亡风险和过度死亡.
- 分析这些结合的极端事件造成的死亡率的趋势和贡献因素.
- 提供证据,用于开发对并发环境危害的早期预警系统.
主要方法:
- 收集了250个中国县 (2013-2018) 的每日死亡率,气象和空气污染数据.
- 定义并将事件分类为仅热浪,仅臭氧污染或并发.
- 利用通用线性模型和元分析来评估死亡风险和过度死亡.
主要成果:
- 同时发生的热浪和臭氧污染比单一事件的死亡风险更高.
- 循环和呼吸道死亡风险因并发事件而增加.
- 从2013-2016年到2017-2020年,因并发事件而导致的每年过度死亡人数增加了5.7倍.
结论:
- 同时出现的热浪和臭氧污染在中国造成了大量和不断增长的死亡风险.
- 调查结果支持对结合极端事件的综合预警系统的开发.
- 迫切需要采取公共卫生干预措施,以减轻与气候相关的并发危害对健康的影响.
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