在民主中操纵?
1Department of Economics, Bar Ilan University, Ramat Gan 52900, Israel.
Behavioral sciences (Basel, Switzerland)
|April 26, 2024
概括
选民的诚意对于民主多数统治至关重要. 虽然私人信号可以鼓励真诚的投票,但微妙的模式变化可能会激励不真诚的投票,可能会破坏民主合法性.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 游戏理论 游戏理论
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 民主进程依赖于多数统治,需要诚实的选民决定.
- 损害选民诚意可能导致操纵,破坏民主合法性.
- 了解选民的行为是确保公平选举的关键.
研究的目的:
- 在对称二分制选择模型中,分析真诚投票是平衡行为的条件.
- 调查模型参数的变化,如私有信号精度,如何影响选民的激励.
- 识别在民主选举中不真诚投票的潜在来源.
主要方法:
- 开发一个一般的对称二分制选择模型.
- 用私人信号对简单多数规则下的投票行为进行分析.
- 在具有统一信号精度的受限模型中检查平衡策略.
主要成果:
- 当选民收到一个或多个私人信号时,真诚投票被证明是一种平衡行为.
- 基本模型的轻微修改可以为不真诚的投票创造激励.
- 即使有统一的信号精度取决于自然状态,选民也可能被激励不真诚地投票.
结论:
- 投票的真诚性是敏感的信息和决策模型的特定结构.
- 虽然私人信息可以支持真诚的投票,但特定的模型变化可能会破坏这种平衡.
- 需要进一步的研究,以充分理解和减轻在民主制度中不真诚投票的激励因素.
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