骨折风险评估工具为老年人骨质疏松症的查在资源有限的环境中
Andrea D Stephanus1, Sara Cristina L Ramos2, Osvaldo S Netto3
1Department of Gerontology, Catholic University of Brasília, Brasília, Federal District, Brazil.
概括
10年FRAX®关节骨折概率有效选低资源环境中50岁以上的成年人骨质疏松风险. 该工具是DXA扫描的有价值替代品,提供了显著的预测性能.
科学领域:
- 老年学是一门学科.
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 医学诊断 医学诊断 医学诊断
背景情况:
- 骨质疏松症对公众健康构成重大挑战,特别是对老年人来说,导致死亡率和发病率增加.
- 低收入和中等收入国家 (LMICs) 在获得双能X射线吸收计 (DXA) 早期发现骨质疏松症方面面临挑战.
研究的目的:
- 评估FRAX®评分的有效性,作为一个全民查工具,用于在LMIC中对50岁及以上个体的骨质疏松风险.
- 为了比较FRAX®关节骨折概率与FRAX®主要骨折概率的预测性能,以确定骨质疏松症风险.
主要方法:
- 追溯性队列研究涉及864名参与者.
- 使用c统计数据对接收器操作特征 (ROC) 曲线进行比较分析,以评估FRAX®评分的性能.
- 危险比率 (HR) 和95%信心区间 (CI) 的计算,统计学意义设置为p<0.05.
主要成果:
- 与10年FRAX®重大骨折概率相比,10年FRAX®骨折概率 (没有BMD) 在预测骨质疏松风险方面表现优越 (AUROC:0.71对0.67,p<0.001).
- 在FRAX®关节骨折概率显示出更高的预测性能和在2到10年的随访期间的净益.
- 对于10年FRAX®关节骨折概率的1.9%的截止值实现了92.9%的负预测值.
结论:
- 10年FRAX®骨骨折概率,估计不包括骨矿物密度,是一个有效的查工具,用于质疏松风险在个人超过50在LMICs.
- 这种基于FRAX®的方法为骨质疏松风险评估提供了可行的替代方案,在DXA访问有限的情况下.
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