相关实验视频
Updated: Jun 27, 2025

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
一个多级别的归因框架,以分离布和单个水库对冲水的影响
Yongsheng Jie1, Hui Qin1, Benjun Jia2
1School of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China; Hubei Key Laboratory of Digital River Basin Science and Technology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China; Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430074, China.
布水库大大改变了河流的流量,而水库规划是变化的主要驱动力. 这项研究制定了一个框架来量化这些影响,揭示了气候,人类活动和水库运行之间的复杂非线性关系.
科学领域:
- 水文学的水文学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
背景情况:
- 气候变化和人类活动对河流流量产生重大影响.
- 布式水力发电发展越来越多地影响了流域水文.
- 现有的研究往往缺乏对水库对流水的影响的详细归因.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证一个数据驱动的框架,用于归因流量变化.
- 为了在空间上分离单个和布水库对流水的影响.
- 分析气候变化,人类活动和水库规划的多时间尺度影响.
主要方法:
- 使用数据驱动模型进行流出归因.
- 实施了一个"间隔排水预测和调度规则提取"框架.
- 对于单个和级联水库冲击的分离空间尺度.
主要成果:
- 在平山和益站观察到的流水变化在不同时期变化在-0.89%和-4.33%之间.
- 储调度成为影响排水变化的主要因素.
- 气候变化,人类活动和水库规划对排水的相对影响大约为1:1:8对于单个水库和2:2:6对于布水库.
结论:
- 储水库的规划显著影响排水,在洪水期间产生负面影响,在干旱季节产生积极影响.
- 布水库表现出复杂的,非线性关系在它们对冲水的影响.
- 该研究为评估水库对排水和相关生态系统服务的影响提供了定量基础.
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