长期气候数据的多变量分析与产量,早产和全球变暖问题有关
V М Efimov1, D V Rechkin1, N P Goncharov1
1Institute of Cytology and Genetics of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk, Russia.
Vavilovskii zhurnal genetiki i selektsii
|April 29, 2024
概括
气候变化对农业构成重大威胁. 这项研究倡导人工智能驱动的智能农业和弹性植物育种,以确保对不可预测气候变化的粮食安全.
科学领域:
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 人工智能的人工智能
背景情况:
- 气候变化对21世纪的农业构成了关键的挑战.
- 通过智能农业优化土地利用对于可持续农业生产至关重要.
- 目前的农业优化依赖于有限的数据,需要长期分析.
研究的目的:
- 分析长期的气象和日光物理数据,以了解气候变化模式.
- 为农业适应提出人工智能驱动的智能农业和先进的植物育种.
- 评估在气候变化下提高农业利能力和可持续性的战略.
主要方法:
- 在2600年的气象极端情况的多变量分析中,使用编年史数据和古文重建.
- 过去9000年的日光物理数据的重建.
- 使用人工智能对长期信息机构的综合分析.
主要成果:
- 目前的全球变暖预计将继续,但未来的气候变化是不可预测的,冷却是一个潜在的场景.
- 对历史气象极端事件的分析揭示了作物失败的模式.
- 对长期数据的AI驱动分析为农业规划提供了比实证数据更强大的基础.
结论:
- 未来的农业战略必须整合人工智能用于智能农业和风险评估,以适应气候变化.
- 植物育种对于粮食安全至关重要,重点是开发高度适应的作物.
- 准备好应对各种气候场景,包括冷却,对于农业的抵御能力至关重要.
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