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气候引起的树种瓶在欧洲森林管理中的瓶
Johannes Wessely1, Franz Essl2,3, Konrad Fiedler4
1Division of Biodiversity Dynamics and Conservation, Department of Botany and Biodiversity Research, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria. johannes.wessely@univie.ac.at.
Nature ecology & evolution
|April 29, 2024
概括
气候变化正在缩小欧洲森林可用的树种池,为未来的管理创造瓶. 这限制了木材,碳储存和生物多样性的选择,可能限制混合森林战略.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 林业林业 林业 林业 林业
- 气候变化科学 气候变化科学
背景情况:
- 由于大规模的树木死亡,欧洲的森林正在经历重大重组.
- 未来的森林管理需要种植在整个21世纪仍然适合气候的树种.
研究的目的:
- 调查气候变化下的当前欧洲森林管理的可用选择.
- 评估气候变化对树种林业适合性的影响.
主要方法:
- 开发了69个欧洲树种的物种分布模型.
- 利用来自238,080个地块位置的发生数据.
- 分析了不同气候变化场景下的气候适应性 (代表性度途径2.6和8.5).
主要成果:
- 随着气候变化,持续适合的树种池在气候变化下大幅缩小,造成瓶.
- 与当前和本世纪末的价值相比,气候变化使可用的树种池减少了33-49% (中度) 和40-54% (严重).
- 只有少数物种仍然适合木材生产,碳储存和生物多样性保护,平均每平方公里.
结论:
- 由于气候变化,林业的发展空间正在缩小.
- 气候适合物种的广泛丧失可能会阻碍适应策略,例如创建混合森林.
- 迫切需要适应战略来维持森林生态系统的功能.
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