极端温度对49个中国城市的公众情绪的影响
Chan Wang1, Yi-Xiang Bai2, Xin-Wu Li3
1School of Economics, Guangdong University of Finance and Economics, Guangzhou, 510320, People's Republic of China.
Scientific reports
|April 30, 2024
概括
极端温度对公众情绪产生负面影响,寒冷天气的影响更大. 弱势群体和特定的城市条件加剧了这些影响,强调了需要数据驱动的政策.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 大都市居民的情绪挑战可能来自极端温度,但经验性的全国性研究很少.
- 需要实时数据分析来理解温度与公众情绪之间的因果关系.
研究的目的:
- 实证地调查极端温度与中国公众情绪之间的因果关系.
- 确定影响温度相关情绪变化的脆弱性的因素.
主要方法:
- 使用地理标记的微博帖子构建了每日极端温度指数和情绪指标.
- 采用因果推理方法来分析温度对情绪的影响.
- 进行异质性分析,以探索人口统计和城市特征之间的差异性影响.
主要成果:
- 极端温度显著降低了公众的情绪;极低的温度比高温有更明显的影响.
- 在PM2.5高,COVID-19新病例或可支配收入低的城市中,个人更容易受到情绪下降的影响.
- 极端寒冷对情绪的负面影响在北方城市有微风时会减少.
结论:
- 社交媒体数据为监测公众对环境因素的情绪提供了有价值的工具.
- 调查结果可以为决策者制定有针对性的,基于证据的战略,以减轻极端温度对公共福祉的不利影响.
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