在预测总电子含量 (TEC) 中,IRI 2016模型的性能与在2019-2021年期间在东非的GPS-TEC相比
1Department of Physics, The University of Dodoma, Dodoma, Tanzania. edsulungu@gmail.com.
Scientific reports
|May 1, 2024
概括
IRI-2016模型显示与GPS总电子含量 (TEC) 有很强的相关性,但低估了夜间值,高估了白天值. 由于低热层等离子体漂移而导致的O/N2比率的变化可能解释了偏差.
科学领域:
- 太空物理空间物理学
- 离子球物理学 离子球物理学
- 地质物理学 地质物理学
背景情况:
- 国际参考电离层 (IRI) 模型是描述电离层的标准实证模型.
- 准确预测电离层总电子含量 (TEC) 对各种应用,包括卫星导航和无线电通信至关重要.
- 来自GPS的TEC为验证和改进电离层模型提供了有价值的数据集.
研究的目的:
- 评估IRI-2016模型在预测GPS TEC方面的性能.
- 为了比较IRI-2016预测与GPS TEC测量在平分钟和转日期间.
- 为了确定IRI-2016模型与GPS TEC数据之间的差异的潜在原因.
主要方法:
- 使用的月度意味着五个平静的天,以平分和转日为单位.
- 从IGS网络 (KYN3,MBAR,HOID站) 获得的GPS衍生的TEC数据.
- 计算IRI TEC使用三个顶部Ne选项和ABT-2009用于底部厚度,然后与GPS TEC进行比较.
主要成果:
- IRI-2016在夜间普遍低估了GPS TEC,在白天则高估了它.
- 在大多数站点和季节,在IRI-2016和GPS TEC之间观察到强大的相关系数 (高于0.9).
- 计算的平方根平均误差 (RMSE) 和百分比RMSE来量化模型偏差.
结论:
- IRI-2016模型表明与GPS TEC有很好的一致性,由高相关系数表明.
- IRI-2016和GPS TEC之间的差异可能归因于O/N2比率的变化.
- 低热层上升的等离子体漂移是观察到的O/N2比率变化和随后的模型偏差的潜在驱动因素.
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