空间复合热浪的加剧:对作物生产和人类人口的全球影响
Waqar Ul Hassan1, Munir Ahmad Nayak2, Mohd Farooq Azam1
1Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Indore, Simrol, Indore, Madhya Pradesh 453552, India.
The Science of the total environment
|May 2, 2024
概括
全球热浪的频率和范围正在增加,导致人口更容易受到极端热应激的影响. 空间复合热浪 (SCHs) 的增加也会影响作物产量,特别是在厄尔尼诺现象期间.
科学领域:
- 气候学 气候学 气候学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 极端天气事件 极端天气事件
背景情况:
- 区域热浪研究正在取得进展,但全球范围的空间复合热浪 (SCHs) 仍未得到充分研究.
- 了解SCH对于评估全球变暖影响至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查全球范围SCHs的频率,范围和影响.
- 为了确定影响热浪发生的远程连接.
主要方法:
- 热浪数据的统计分析.
- 确定区域性热量事件之间的远程连接.
主要成果:
- 在热浪中确定了具有统计意义的远程连接.
- 全球SCH的频率和面积已经显著增加.
- 在过去的二十年中,人口对极端热应激的暴露增加了50%.
- 农作物产量在出现异常热浪的年份下降,通常与厄尔尼诺现象相吻合.
结论:
- 全球SCHs正在增加,对社会生态系统构成重大风险.
- 内部气候变化在热浪范围变化中起着关键作用.
- 需要进一步的研究来准确量化热应激风险.
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