为未来一代探索新技术:在代际框架下探索-开发的权衡.
Yo Nakawake1,2, Yutaka Kobayashi1,3
1School of Economics and Management, Kochi University of Technology, Kochi, 780-8515, Japan.
Royal Society open science
|May 3, 2024
概括
人类并不仅仅为了未来几代人而探索新技术. 货币激励是个人投资昂贵勘探的关键,表明需要偿还以推动创新投资.
科学领域:
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 技术采用 技术采用
背景情况:
- 技术进步依赖于平衡新设计的探索与现有设计的利用.
- 代际知识转移带来了一个困境:探索未来的好处可能会减少当前的收益.
研究的目的:
- 在两代框架内调查技术探索与开发的决策.
- 为了确定个人是否投资于昂贵的勘探而没有直接的个人利益.
主要方法:
- 一个实验室实验,使用二代虚拟工具设计传输.
- 三个条件:"回报" (有激励的勘探),"不回报" (没有激励的勘探) 和"非社会" (控制).
- 分析正式模型和计算机模拟以及实验结果.
主要成果:
- 参与者只有在有经济激励 ("偿还"条件) 的情况下,才能增加勘探投资.
- 在"偿还"条件下,勘探投资明显高于在"非社会"控制条件下.
- 与对照组相比,在"未偿还"条件下没有观察到探索的显著增加.
结论:
- 人类倾向于投资昂贵的技术探索,这不仅仅是出于对子孙后代的利他主义.
- 货币激励措施对投资勘探的决定产生重大影响,以造福后代.
- 调查结果强调了感知回报在推动创新和技术发展方面的关键作用.
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