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外部金融和货币政策冲击:它们对韩国宏观经济有影响吗?
1Department of Chinese Trade and Commerce, Sejong University, Seoul, 05006, Republic of Korea.
Heliyon
|May 6, 2024
概括
外部金融和货币政策冲击对韩国产生负面影响.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 宏观经济学 宏观经济学
- 国际金融 国际金融
背景情况:
- 韩国作为一个小型开放经济体的地位使其对外部经济冲击高度敏感.
- 了解全球金融和货币政策对国内经济的影响对于稳定至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析外部金融和货币政策冲击对韩国的关键宏观经济变量的影响.
- 将这些外部冲击的影响与生产率和贸易条款等国内因素进行比较.
主要方法:
- 贝叶斯估计技术用于经验分析.
- 使用了冲动响应函数和预测错误差异分解.
主要成果:
- 外部冲击导致出口,产出,就业,实际工资,消费和投资下降.
- 这些冲击与韩国价格水平和通货膨胀的上升有关.
- 与国内冲击相比,外部冲击的影响较轻 (生产率,贸易条款,实际汇率).
结论:
- 外部金融和货币政策冲击对韩国的宏观经济变量有着显著的,尽管多样化的影响.
- 调查结果表明,与外部冲击相比,国内因素在短期经济波动中发挥的作用相对较大.
- 结合这些发现的进一步研究可以提高对韩国经济动态在全球波动的理解.
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