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Updated: Jun 27, 2025

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An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model
Published on: September 16, 2022
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使用XGBoost和SHAP对出租车相关事故的风险因素进行比较分析
Zhipeng Peng1, Jingping Zuo1, Hao Ji1
1School of Economics and Management, Xi'an Technological University, Xi'an, China.
概括
这项研究比较了出租车司机在中国的车祸风险,发现危险的驾驶行为是财产损害事故的关键,而工作条件对伤害事故至关重要. 这些发现有助于改善所有出租车司机的道路安全.
科学领域:
- 运输安全运输安全
- 交通工程是交通工程.
- 驾驶过程中的人类因素
背景情况:
- 出租车对于城市交通至关重要,但驾驶员安全是一个问题,乘车服务加剧了这一问题.
- 需要对中国传统和叫车出租车司机的撞车风险因素进行比较分析.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较分析涉及中国传统与叫车出租车司机事故的风险因素.
- 确定财产损害 (PD) 和人身伤害 (PI) 事故的主要人口统计,工作条件和行为预测因素.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自2,039名传统和2,182名乘车出租车司机的自我报告问卷.
- 开发了四种XGBoost模型,用于预测不同驾驶组的撞车类型 (PD与PI).
- 使用SHAP解释器进行深入分析模型结果和风险因素的重要性.
主要成果:
- 冒险的驾驶行为显著预测财产损害 (PD) 两种出租车司机类型的碰撞.
- 工作条件是人身伤害 (PI) 事故的更为关键的预测因素.
- 风险因素及其相互作用的相对重要性因事故类型和驾驶员类别而异.
结论:
- 了解特定的风险因素 (驾驶行为与工作条件) 对不同类型的碰撞至关重要.
- 风险因素之间的相互作用放大了碰撞的影响,需要整体的安全干预措施.
- 调查结果为针对性的道路安全策略提供了见解,以保护出租车司机.
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