通过使用机器学习技术,根据年龄和事故类型比较致命事故的风险因素
Abdulaziz H Alshehri1, Fayez Alanazi2, Ahmed M Yosri2
1Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Najran University, Najran, Saudi Arabia.
PloS one
|May 6, 2024
概括
机器学习模型有效地确定了吉达的关键机因素. 轻GBM实现了最高的准确性 (94.9%),在交通安全分析中表现优于其他模型.
科学领域:
- 交通安全 交通安全
- 机器学习应用 机器学习应用
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 道路交通事故在全球范围内构成重大风险.
- 了解撞车原因对于有效的安全干预至关重要.
- 吉达面临着交通事故数据分析的挑战.
研究的目的:
- 调查吉达发生重大交通事故的原因因素.
- 在事故分析中评估四个机器学习算法的性能.
- 确定最准确的模型来预测碰撞决定因素.
主要方法:
- 使用了来自沙特阿拉伯吉达的综合数据集.
- 采用了四种机器学习算法:XGBoost,Catboost,LightGBM和RandomForest. 这是一个非常简单的算法.
- 分析了包括驾驶员人口统计,车辆位置和天气条件在内的因素.
主要成果:
- XGBoost实现了95.4%的精度,Catboost达到94%,LightGBM达到94.9%的精度.
- 随机森林模型的准确性较低,为89.1%.
- 在测试的模型中,LightGBM显示了最高的预测准确度.
结论:
- 机器学习模型,特别是LightGBM,对于交通安全分析非常有效.
- 准确的碰撞预测可以为制定有针对性的交通安全法规提供信息.
- 需要进一步分析,以了解导致撞车因素的微妙变化.
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