客观的计算能力加剧了政治风险下决策的框架效应
Erin B Fitz1, Dominik A Stecuła2, Matthew P Hitt3
1Department of Political Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, USA. erin.fitz@colostate.edu.
Scientific reports
|May 7, 2024
概括
展望理论决策受个人计算能力和认知参与的影响. 即使是知情的个人也可能会受到政策制定的影响,特别是在潜在的损失方面.
科学领域:
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
- 政治心理学 政治心理学
背景情况:
- 展望理论解释了风险下的决策,但经常使用假设场景.
- 在现实世界中,决策受认知能力和动机的影响,而这些能力和动机往往被忽视.
研究的目的:
- 用一个真实的事件来测试前景理论:美国债务上限谈判.
- 检查客观的计算能力和对认知的需求如何适度决策中的框架效应.
主要方法:
- 进行了对2813名美国成年人进行的原始调查.
- 统计模型被用来分析前景理论效应,计算能力和认知需求.
主要成果:
- 受访者通常对收益不愿冒风险,对损失接受风险.
- 较高的计算能力与增加的对获利的风险厌恶和对损失的风险接受度相关.
- 认知需求与计算能力相互作用,影响了风险承担,特别是潜在的损失.
结论:
- 客观的计算能力和认知需求显著缓和了决策中的框架效应.
- 具有高认知能力的个人仍然可能受到政策框架的影响,特别是在损失方面.
- 研究结果强调了认知因素在政治决策中的复杂相互作用.
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