在西藏高原,蒸发透气的增加趋势翻了一番
Xuelong Chen1, Ling Yuan2, Yaoming Ma3
1Land-Atmosphere Interaction and Its Climatic Effects Group, State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.
Science bulletin
|May 8, 2024
概括
西藏高原的蒸发透气 (ET) 正在显著增加,是全球速度的两倍. 这种由变暖和融化冰层驱动的上升,将加速水循环.
科学领域:
- 水文学 水文学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 在西藏高原 (TP) 上精确估计蒸发透气 (ETa) 对下游人口的水资源管理至关重要.
- 现有的ETA对TP的估计存在很大的不确定性.
研究的目的:
- 为了更准确地量化西藏高原的Eta数量及其变化.
- 解释在TP上观察到的ETA变化背后的驱动因素.
主要方法:
- 利用整体平均产品整合了气候模型模拟,重新分析数据以及地面和卫星观测.
- 使用数值归因分析来确定ETA变化的原因.
主要成果:
- 从1982年到2018年,在TP上观察到ETA显著增加的趋势 (每十年8.4±2.2毫米),是全球土地率的两倍.
- 归因分析表明,温度升高 (53.8%的面积) 和土壤湿度上升 (23.1%) 是主要的驱动因素.
- 变暖,冰层融化和降水量增加有助于增加ETa.
结论:
- 这项研究成功地量化并解释了西藏高原的ETA变化.
- 预计未来的Eta增加预计将加速到2100年的水循环.
- 这些发现对于理解该地区的水资源动态至关重要.
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