相关实验视频
Updated: Jun 26, 2025
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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
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评估英国未来的复原潜力
C Brown1,2, R Prestele1, M Rounsevell1,3,4
1Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research (IMK-IFU), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany.
概括
到2080年,英国的回收利用面积可达49,000平方公里,具有显著的恢复潜力. 然而,如果没有仔细的规划和干预,泥炭地和古老森林等保护优先级可能会变得脆弱.
科学领域:
- 生态与保护科学 生态与保护科学
- 土地使用建模模型
- 环境规划 环境规划
背景情况:
- 生态系统的恢复对于生物多样性和气候目标至关重要,符合昆明-蒙特利尔全球生物多样性框架.
- 重生林业是一个有前途的恢复战略,但面临着与现有和未来的土地使用需求的潜在冲突.
- 评估再生林的可行性和空间潜力对于有效的保护规划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 根据各种情景,评估到2080年在英国的潜在重新野生化面积.
- 识别重新野生化区域与提供生态系统服务之间的潜在冲突.
- 确定潜在的重新野生化区域和优先保护生态系统之间的重叠.
主要方法:
- 采用了多部门的土地利用模型,结合了各种气候和社会经济情景.
- 基于未经管理或兼容的土地使用分类,预计可用于重新野生化的土地可用性.
- 分析了潜在的重新野生化地区与保护优先级的空间巧合,例如泥炭地,古林地和湿地.
主要成果:
- 到2080年,5,0007,000平方公里可能适合重新野生化,而不会损害生态系统服务.
- 额外的24,00042,000平方公里广泛的高地管理可能有助于恢复野林.
- 优先保护的生态系统 (泥地,古林地,湿地) 不能在潜在的重新野生化区域内可靠地定位,并且显示出对转换的脆弱性.
结论:
- 在英国存在大量的再生林业机会,由土地节约,公共需求或利基性休欲望等因素驱动.
- 干预措施是必要的,以指导重新野生化的规模和性质,以保护优先保护区和社会目标.
- 该研究强调了战略规划的必要性,以平衡重生潜力与保护关键息地和文化景观.
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