复制得很好,一切都很好:在领先的组织科学期刊中报告的调节和交互效应的可复制性
Marcus Crede1, Lukas K Sotola1
1Department of Psychology, Iowa State University.
The Journal of applied psychology
|May 9, 2024
概括
组织科学中相互作用效应的复制性很低,仅发现37%的可复制性. 大多数研究都缺乏功率分析和预注册,质疑报告中的适度发现的可靠性.
科学领域:
- 组织科学 组织科学
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
- 管理 管理 管理 管理
背景情况:
- 互动效应对于理解组织研究中的复杂关系至关重要.
- 人们对已发表的研究结果的可复制性和方法论严谨性存在担忧.
- 鼓励开放科学实践,如预先注册和功率分析,但并未得到一致采用.
研究的目的:
- 在组织科学中估计统计上显著的相互作用效应的可复制性.
- 评估在已发表的研究中功率分析和预先注册的普遍性.
- 评估报告的调节发现的可靠性,以告知研究和实践.
主要方法:
- 对244个相互作用效应的独立测试中p值的分布进行了z曲线分析.
- 研究来源来自组织科学领域的四个领先期刊.
- 编码包括对先验功率分析的检查和假设的预先注册.
主要成果:
- 统计学上显著的相互作用效应的估计可重复性为37%.
- 在检查的四个期刊中,可复制性各不相同.
- 没有一项研究报告进行先验功率分析,只有一个报告预注册.
结论:
- 在领先的组织科学期刊中报告的调节结果可能不符合可靠性的方法和统计标准.
- 低可复制性和缺乏方法严格性建议在使用这些发现来指导未来的研究或实践时谨慎使用.
- 需要更加坚持开放科学实践和强有力的统计规划,以提高研究结果的可信度.
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