在调节温室气体排放方面使用游戏理论建模
Oleksandr Maevsky1, Maya Kovalchuk2, Yuri Brodsky1
1Zhytomyr Polytechnic State University, Zhytomyr, Ukraine.
Heliyon
|May 10, 2024
概括
这项研究使用游戏理论和微分方程来模拟温室气体排放监管,以找到减排的最佳策略. 它提出了一种基于费用的机制来鼓励削减,并预测十年的排放轨迹.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 数学建模的数学建模
- 游戏理论 游戏理论
背景情况:
- 温室气体排放是一个重大的全球环境挑战.
- 现有的环境管理策略需要创新,主动的方法.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个新的框架,整合游戏理论和微分方程来模拟温室气体排放动态.
- 为排放源和立法机构制定最佳监管策略.
- 预测温室气体排放的轨迹,评估技术创新的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用游戏理论模型模拟排放源和监管行动之间的相互作用.
- 采用普通微分方程系统来捕捉动态大气过程.
- 引入了基于费用的监管机制,以激励减排.
主要成果:
- 这项研究提出了一个详细的模型,用于预测未来十年温室气体排放轨迹.
- 该研究强调了基于费用的监管机制的经济影响.
- 在立法约束范围内,对排放源和监管机构进行了最佳策略的划定.
结论:
- 综合框架为环境管理和政策的知情决策提供了一个战略工具.
- 多学科的方法对于开发可持续的解决方案来应对气候变化至关重要.
- 人工智能在提高环境治理和预测建模方面表现有前途.
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