地缘政治风险对环境可持续性的影响,以及环境政策严格性的温和作用
1School of Digital Economy and Industry, Jiangxi University of Engineering, Xinyu, Jiangxi, China.
Scientific reports
|May 10, 2024
概括
地缘政治风险 (GPR) 增加了碳排放 (CCO2),特别是在发展中国家. 环境政策的严格性 (EPS) 可以减轻这种影响,强调需要稳定的政治环境和强有力的环境法规.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 气候政策 气候政策
- 国际关系 国际关系
背景情况:
- 地缘政治风险 (GPR) 越来越关注潜在的环境后果.
- 了解基于消费的二氧化碳 (CCO2) 排放的驱动因素对于减缓气候变化至关重要.
- 地缘政治不稳定与环境政策有效性之间的相互作用需要进一步研究.
研究的目的:
- 分析地缘政治风险 (GPR) 对基于消费的碳 (CCO2) 排放的影响.
- 检查环境政策严格性 (EPS) 在GPR-CCO2关系中的温和作用.
- 在地缘政治不确定性背景下,为减轻碳排放提供政策建议.
主要方法:
- 以27个国家的数据进行计量经济学分析,涵盖了1990年至2020年的27个国家的数据.
- 应用基本回归,定量回归和稳健测试.
- 异质性分析比较发达国家和发展中国家.
主要成果:
- 地缘政治风险 (GPR) 显著加快了基于消费的碳 (CCO2) 排放.
- GPR对二氧化碳排放的影响在排放水平较高的国家更为明显.
- 环境政策的严格性 (EPS) 实际上削弱了GPR和CCO2排放之间的积极关系.
- GPR对二氧化碳排放的影响在发展中国家明显大于发达国家.
结论:
- 地缘政治不稳定是碳排放增加的一个重要驱动因素.
- 环境政策在缓解地缘政治风险对排放的影响方面发挥着至关重要的作用.
- 政策建议包括促进政治稳定,加强法律制度,促进能源转型,并扩大带有差异税率的环境税.
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