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气候变化可能会抵消美国森林生态系统服务的好处,这些好处是通过减少和硫沉积而获得的
Jennifer N Phelan1, George Van Houtven2, Christopher M Clark3
1RTI International, 3040 E. Cornwallis Rd., RTP, NC, USA. jenphelan@rti.org.
Scientific reports
|May 10, 2024
概括
减少 (N) 和硫 (S) 沉积有利于森林生态系统服务. 然而,气候变化可能会抵消这些收益,影响碳捕获和多样性.
科学领域:
- 林业林业 林业 林业 林业
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
背景情况:
- 森林的健康和生产力受到气候变化和大气中 (N) 和硫 (S) 的沉积的影响.
- 这些环境压力因素可能会影响森林提供的关键生态系统服务.
研究的目的:
- 探索气候变化和N+S沉积对美国连接地区未来森林生态系统服务的潜在影响.
- 评估N+S沉积的减少如何与气候变化对森林服务的影响相互作用.
主要方法:
- 在不同的气候和大气沉积条件下建模未来的森林场景.
- 量化标准级生态系统服务的变化,包括木,地表碳捕获和森林多样性.
主要成果:
- 减少N+S沉积总体上改善了标准级服务 (2.68.1%),主要是由于减少硫的好处抵消了的负面影响.
- 木对气候变化产生了不同的反应,而碳捕集和多样性在所有气候情景中都受到负面影响.
- 最极端的气候场景减少了通过减少沉积而获得的所有服务收益.
结论:
- 气候变化显著影响了空气污染政策对森林生态系统服务的净收益.
- 考虑到气候变化对于准确评估N和S沉积减少策略的结果至关重要.
- 对压力因素的不同物种特定反应凸显了预测未来林业服务供应的复杂性.
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