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人为强迫扭转了一个模拟的多个世纪自然强迫的北半球哈德利细胞强化
1Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot, Israel. or.hess@weizmann.ac.il.
Nature communications
|May 11, 2024
概括
人类排放正在削弱北半球的哈德利循环,与历史上加剧的自然强迫不同. 这项研究揭示了人类对热带气候模式的前所未有的影响.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 大气动力学 大气动力学
- 古气候学 古气候学
背景情况:
- 哈德利循环对于热带和亚热带水文循环至关重要.
- 人类引起的血液循环减弱会对社会产生重大影响.
- 哈德利循环对自然强迫的过去反应还不太清楚.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较人类引起的哈德利循环减弱及其对自然强迫的反应在过去的千年.
- 评估大气循环当前变化的前所未有的性质.
主要方法:
- 利用最先进的气候模型.
- 分析了过去一千年的气候数据.
主要成果:
- 自然强迫在历史上通过气候降温加剧了哈德利循环.
- 人类的排放已经扭转了这个长达数百年的自然趋势.
- 人类对大气循环的影响是前所未有的.
结论:
- 人类活动造成了哈德利循环的独特削弱.
- 自然强迫在过去放大了哈德利循环.
- 准确的气候预测需要将自然强迫因素纳入,以更好地限制热带气候变化.
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