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皮雷尼斯山脉的气候:极端指数和长期趋势
José María Cuadrat1, Roberto Serrano-Notivoli1, Marc Prohom2
1Dept. of Geography and Regional Planning, Environmental Sciences Institute (IUCA), University of Zaragoza, Zaragoza, Spain.
The Science of the total environment
|May 12, 2024
概括
皮利尼斯山脉的气候变化显示了每十年0.2-0.4°C的显著变暖趋势. 降水模式显示出南北差异,南部和地中海地区的降水量显著下降.
科学领域:
- 气候学 气候学 气候学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气象学 天气学
背景情况:
- 比利尼斯山脉呈现出复杂的气候动态,其跨境性质的影响.
- 了解区域气候模式和极端事件对于适应战略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 通过广泛的气象数据,分析皮利尼斯山脉的空间和时间气候模式.
- 调查从20世纪中叶到2020年极端降水和温度事件的趋势.
主要方法:
- 利用来自1500多个气象站的跨境数据集 (20世纪中期至2020年).
- 应用严格的数据质量控制,同质化和空间建模.
- 为每日温度和降水 (1981-2020年) 创建了一个高分辨率网格数据集 (1公里2).
- 使用同质化数据系列 (1959-2020) 评估了长期趋势.
主要成果:
- 确定了明显的高度相关的温度模式,除了地中海一侧的热带夜晚.
- 观察到明显的南北降水差异,在极端事件中变得纵向.
- 记录了每十年0.2-0.4°C的显著变暖趋势.
- 总体而言,降水变化不显著,但在南部/地中海地区,每十年每年下降约3%.
结论:
- 比利尼斯山脉正在经历显著的变暖趋势.
- 降水模式正在发生变化,特定地区的降水量显著下降.
- 高度和度是影响比利尼斯山脉气候变化的关键因素.
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