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一个结构化的过程,用于验证一个决策分析模型:应用到一个成本效益模型的风险分层国家乳腺查的风险分层
Stuart J Wright1, Ewan Gray2, Gabriel Rogers3
1Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, Manchester Centre for Health Economics, The University of Manchester, Oxford Road, Manchester, M139PL, UK. stuart.j.wright@manchester.ac.uk.
Applied health economics and health policy
|May 16, 2024
概括
一种新的逐步方法系统地验证了医疗保健干预措施的决策分析模型. 这确保了可靠的政策决策的成本效益分析,如乳腺癌查计划.
科学领域:
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
- 决策分析 决策分析
- 卫生技术评估 卫生技术评估
背景情况:
- 决策者需要了解医疗保健干预的决策分析模型的优缺点.
- 缺乏评估模型有效性的系统方法.
- 这项研究旨在将有效性方面整合到一个逐步评估过程中.
研究的目的:
- 开发和应用一个系统的,逐步的方法来评估决策分析模型的有效性.
- 评估一个风险分层乳腺癌查计划的示例模型的内部和外部有效性.
主要方法:
- 预先定义的一组步骤用于内部和外部验证.
- 内部验证包括描述性,技术性和面部验证.
- 外部验证包括操作,收和预测有效性.
主要成果:
- 验证过程的结果是验证的模型"MANC-RISK-SCREEN".
- 这项研究确定了MANC-RISK-SCREEN模型的积极方面和剩余的局限性.
- 该模型的内部和外部有效性被证明是令人满意的.
结论:
- 一个透明和结构化的验证过程证实了MANC-RISK-SCREEN的满意有效性.
- 该模型适用于为风险分层的国家乳腺癌查计划的资源分配决策提供信息.
- 开发的逐步流程为卫生经济学家提供了一个框架,以展示模型的优点和局限性.
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