探索外国直接投资流入与经济增长之间的联系:一个部门层面的分析分析
Guo Ai-Jun1, A K M Mohsin1,2, Sayed Farrukh Ahmed2
1School of Economics, Lanzhou University, Gansu, Lanzhou, China.
PloS one
|May 17, 2024
概括
孟加拉国外国直接投资 (FDI) 显示,从经济增长到六个部门的FDI流入之间存在单向的因果关系. 有效的政策对于吸引外国直接投资来促进国家经济增长至关重要.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
- 发展研究 发展研究 研究
背景情况:
- 外国直接投资 (FDI) 是经济增长的关键驱动力.
- 了解部门级别的外国直接投资动态对于孟加拉国等发展中经济体至关重要.
- 之前的研究往往忽略了FDI和经济增长之间的因果关系方向.
研究的目的:
- 调查孟加拉国外国直接投资 (FDI) 流入和经济增长之间的因果关系.
- 分析六个主要经济部门之间的这种关系.
- 为提高外国直接投资对经济发展贡献的政策建议提供信息.
主要方法:
- 专家小组研究框架利用2007-08年至2018-19年的部门级数据.
- 面板向量错误纠正模型 (面板VECM) 的应用用于动态分析.
- 面板单元根测试和Pedroni面板联合集成测试,以确保模型的有效性.
主要成果:
- 面板单元根测试证实所有变量是第一个顺序的整合 (I(1)),表明静态性.
- 佩德罗尼小组协同整合测试支持变量之间存在长期关系.
- 专家组VECM结果显示,所有六个部门的实际国内生产总值 (RGDP) 与实际外国直接投资 (RFDI) 之间存在单向因果关系.
结论:
- 孟加拉国的经济增长积极影响了部门层面的外国直接投资 (FDI) 流入.
- 务实的政策对于有效吸引和利用外国直接投资来实现经济持续增长至关重要.
- 调查结果强调,需要制定特定部门的战略,以最大限度地提高外国直接投资对发展的影响.
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