模拟埃塞俄比亚妇女在婚前同居时间的决定因素,使用参数共享脆弱模型
Woldemariam Erkalo Gobena1, Wubishet Gezimu2, Gizachew Gobebo Mekebo3
1Department of Statistics, College of Natural Science, Mattu University, Mettu, Ethiopia.
PloS one
|May 17, 2024
概括
在埃塞俄比亚妇女中,婚前同居是很常见的,其中72.7%的人在18岁之前同居. 关键的决定因素包括妇女的居住地,工作,教育和怀孕状态.
科学领域:
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 婚前同居在全球范围内普遍存在,特别是在撒哈拉以南非洲,并与婚姻不稳定,离婚和孩子的不良心理结果有关.
- 尽管在埃塞俄比亚普遍存在,但婚前同居在埃塞俄比亚的研究关注度有限.
- 了解影响婚前同居的因素对于制定有针对性的干预措施至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 确定埃塞俄比亚妇女在婚前同居的时间的决定因素.
- 分析与婚前同居年龄相关的社会经济和人口因素.
主要方法:
- 使用2016年埃塞俄比亚人口和健康调查 (EDHS) 数据分析了15683名妇女的生存数据.
- 使用生存分析模型 (指数式,韦布尔式,逻辑逻辑) 与区域国家作为一个集群效应.
- 采用Log-logistic-Gamma共享脆弱模型来识别重要的决定因素.
主要成果:
- 在婚前同居的平均年龄为18岁.
- 72.7%的参与者报告了婚前同居.
- 居住地,职业,教育状况和怀孕被确定为婚前同居时间的重要决定因素.
结论:
- 埃塞俄比亚的婚前同居率明显高于其他东非和撒哈拉以南非洲地区.
- 影响婚前同居时间的关键因素包括居住地,职业,教育和怀孕.
- 建议包括为女性制定教育策略,以了解影响因素和与婚前同居相关的风险.
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