对自然世界遗产遗址的威胁很少单独发生
Martin Thomas Falk1, Eva Hagsten2
1School of Business and IT, University of South-Eastern Norway, Campus Bø. Norway.
Journal of environmental management
|May 21, 2024
概括
联合国教科文组织自然世界遗产的外部威胁往往同时发生,特别是与社会和环境变化相关的非法活动. 网站的特点和位置显著影响威胁的可能性,随着时间的推移,旅游压力越来越大.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
- 遗产管理 遗产管理
背景情况:
- 联合国教科文组织自然世界遗产面临着许多外部威胁.
- 了解威胁相互作用对于有效的保护策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 实证地调查对联合国教科文组织自然世界遗产遗址的外部威胁的同时发生.
- 识别不同类型的威胁之间的关键驱动因素和相关性.
主要方法:
- 利用世界遗产数据库和联合国教科文组织保护状况报告 (1979-2023年).
- 分析了6852个地点年观察和3316个威胁.
- 采用多变量Probit模型来评估威胁相关性.
主要成果:
- 多种外部威胁之间存在强烈的正相关性,例如具有社会和环境影响的非法活动.
- 非法活动和采矿是最常见的威胁,其次是基础设施和旅游业.
- 森林覆盖面,海洋/沿海地区,非洲和阿拉伯地区的威胁可能性更高.
- 即使在COVID-19大流行期间,旅游业的压力也在增加.
结论:
- 对世界遗产遗址的威胁很少孤立地发生,需要综合管理方法.
- 网站的特点和地理位置是威胁脆弱性的重要决定因素.
- 多变量模型对于准确分析复杂威胁相互作用至关重要.
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