在新泽西州现金保释改革后,评估枪支暴力事件
Jaquelyn L Jahn1, Jessica T Simes2, Jonathan Jay3
1The Ubuntu Center on Racism, Global Movements, and Population Health Equity, Drexel University Dornsife School of Public Health, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
JAMA network open
|May 22, 2024
概括
新泽西州的新泽西州
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 健康 公平 卫生 公平
背景情况:
- 减少审前拘留是结束大规模监禁的关键.
- 关于保释制度改革对社区暴力的影响存在争论.
- 种族和经济差异与监禁和枪支暴力有关.
研究的目的:
- 评估2017年新泽西州保释制度改革对枪支暴力的影响.
- 确定是否消除预审释放的财政障碍会影响社区的安全.
主要方法:
- 使用合成控制方法进行的案例控制研究 (2014-2019).
- 将新泽西州的枪支暴力率与36个没有改革的州进行比较.
- 分析了每10万人口的致命/非致命枪支伤害季度率.
主要成果:
- 新泽西州的审前拘留人口在改革后显著下降.
- 没有证据表明整体枪支死亡率增加 (ATE -0.26/100,000).
- 没有证据表明枪支暴力增加 (ATE -0.24/100,000) 或在种族化群体内.
结论:
- 保释制度改革可以减少审前拘留,而不会增加社区枪支暴力.
- 现金保释制度改革可能是促进健康公平的工具.
- 政策变化可以解决与监禁和暴力有关的公共卫生问题.
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