将中国的使用量保持在行星边界内,采用空间显式方法
Xi Chen1,2,3, Maryna Strokal2, Michelle T H van Vliet4
1Key Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetics and Developmental Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 286 Huaizhong Road, Shijiazhuang 050021, China.
Environmental science & technology
|May 23, 2024
概括
过剩的 (N) 会污染水,影响粮食生产. 本研究为中国定义了N个输入极限.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
背景情况:
- (N) 对于粮食生产至关重要,但过多的N会导致严重的水污染.
- 目前对水质N边界的理解是有限的,重点是区域减排目标.
- 在N输入和流中的N度之间复杂的关系需要一种精细的方法.
研究的目的:
- 导出N输入河流的空间显式边界,以保护中国的地表水质.
- 探索满足这些N边界的策略,同时平衡对水质和粮食生产的影响.
- 为制定区域特定的水质改善政策提供见解.
主要方法:
- 利用修改后的多尺度营养建模系统来模拟N个输入.
- 开发了一个自下而上的方法,为河流建立空间上明确的N输入边界.
- 对比了"水质第一"和"粮食生产第一"的情景,以评估权衡.
主要成果:
- 模拟了2012年中国允许的约6.5 Tg的投入量,根据地区设定了可变的限制 (密集农业较高,城市地区较低).
- 减少肥料和物的使用可以使45-76%的河流在各种情景下达到N水质值.
- 水质和粮食生产之间的权衡在2-8%的河流中被发现,可能影响7-28%的作物生产.
结论:
- 空间显式的N输入边界对于管理水质和粮食生产至关重要.
- 政策决策涉及权衡,需要仔细考虑区域影响.
- 这些发现支持制定有针对性的政策,以提高中国的水质.
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