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确定单车事故的风险链,考虑多种风险因素的合效应
Fangyuan Li1, Xia Wang2, Zenglei Feng2
1School of Automobile Engineering, Shandong Jiaotong University, Jinan, China.
PloS one
|May 23, 2024
概括
车辆驾驶风险的实时监控可以识别不当操作和超速等关键因素,以防止单车事故. 这有助于早期发现和控制高死亡率事件.
科学领域:
- 道路安全和车辆动态
- 预防事故和风险管理
背景情况:
- 由于复杂的风险合,单车事故带来了高死亡风险.
- 实时监控对于早期发现和控制这些事故至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个实时监测车辆驾驶风险状态的系统.
- 确定关键的风险链和导致单车事故的因素.
主要方法:
- 建立了安全管理数据库,并开发了一个单车驾驶风险网络 (SVDRN),具有三级值.
- 分析了SVDRN拓特征,并应用了多属性综合评估模型来评估节点的重要性.
- 提出了一个实时监控算法来识别关键的风险链.
主要成果:
- 确定了主要的风险因素:运行不当,超速,失去车辆控制和驾驶员管理效率低下.
- 环境因素,如非标准的道路对齐,显示出显著的重要性.
- 不当运行和非标准的道路对齐显示出影响道路安全的最高相关性.
结论:
- 开发的算法有效地识别了高频风险传输路径和因素.
- 调查结果为集中的运输企业管理提供了基础,以提高道路安全.
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