极端温度和COVID-19大流行病对复合死亡率的影响
Y T Eunice Lo1,2, Dann M Mitchell3,4, Antonio Gasparrini5
1Cabot Institute for the Environment, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK. eunice.lo@bristol.ac.uk.
Nature communications
|May 23, 2024
概括
极端天气事件和COVID-19等流行病对健康构成重大风险. 这项研究发现,在2020-2022年期间,英格兰和威尔士的与温度相关的死亡人数高于COVID-19死亡人数,这凸显了准备的必要性.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 极端天气事件和流行病是全球主要的健康威胁.
- 这些并发事件对健康的综合影响仍然未得到充分量化.
- 由于COVID-19的流行以及极端的气温,这给公共卫生带来了重大挑战.
研究的目的:
- 量化英格兰和威尔士在2020-2022年期间极端高温和寒冷事件的死亡负担.
- 为了比较温度相关的死亡率与COVID-19死亡率在大流行期间的峰值.
- 评估极端天气和流行病对健康的复合后果.
主要方法:
- 对英格兰和威尔士 (2020-2022) 的温度归因死亡率的估计.
- 极端温度导致的过度死亡人数与COVID-19之间的比较.
- 在热浪和暴风雨期间分析死亡率数据.
主要成果:
- 与温度相关的死亡率在英格兰西南部超过了COVID-19死亡率的8%.
- 在热浪期间,极端温度和COVID-19的结合导致了每10万人中有19-24人过度死亡.
- 极端温度和COVID-19的结合导致了每10万人中80-127例过度死亡,是前十年的两倍.
结论:
- 极端天气事件对死亡率有很大影响,特别是当与流行病相吻合时.
- 准备好应对涉及极端天气和流行病的复合健康危机至关重要.
- 这项研究强调了天气危险和流行病对健康的负担不断增加.
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