坎贝尔定律解释了复制危机:预注册章正在重复历史
1The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada.
Assessment
|May 24, 2024
概括
坎贝尔定律表明,将预注册章等科学工具视为目标会扭曲它们的使用,可能会损害心理学科学. 真正的科学稳定性依赖于复制,而不是授权.
科学领域:
- 心理学是一门科学.
- 研究方法研究方法论.
- 科学完整性 科学完整性
背景情况:
- 科学中的复制危机凸显了研究实践的问题.
- 坎贝尔定律描述了绩效指标如何被扭曲,当追求作为目标.
- 存在的工具,如p值和假设被滥用,导致脆弱的发现.
研究的目的:
- 检查预先注册授权,如预先注册章 (PRBs),是否是对复制危机的有效解决方案.
- 论证PRBs和其他工具一样,可能会被扭曲并损害科学进步.
- 为培养强大的科学提出替代解决方案.
主要方法:
- 将坎贝尔定律应用于预注册任务的概念分析.
- 审查关于使用和滥用预注册章的现有证据.
- 基于理论原则和科学实践中观察到的趋势的论证.
主要成果:
- 预先注册任务,就像PRB一样,有可能成为目标本身,导致使用扭曲.
- 有证据表明,寻求PRB的论文可能违反其精神和规则.
- 预先注册任务可能会阻止最佳实践,加剧文件抽问题,并鼓励"在结果已知后预先注册" (PRARKing).
结论:
- 预注册授权可能会对不可靠的调查结果产生错误的信任感.
- 设计特征的组合 (样本大小,测量,稳定性检查,预注册) 支持可复制性,但不应将任何设计特征定为正典.
- 最关键的解决方案是社会文化转变,重视和加强强大的科学,而不是"闪闪发光但脆弱"的科学.
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