通过决策分析,重新定义野生动物疾病管理问题
Margaret C McEachran1, Johanna A Harvey2, Riley O Mummah1
1Department of Environmental Conservation, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Massachusetts, USA.
概括
野生动物疾病管理面临着利益相关者的复杂性和不确定性. 将这些挑战重新定义为使用结构化决策工具的决策问题,可以提高管理质量和透明度.
科学领域:
- 野生动物疾病生态学 野生动物疾病生态学
- 保护科学是一种保护科学.
- 决策分析 决策分析
背景情况:
- 野生动物疾病管理是复杂的,涉及各种利益相关者,不确定性和权衡.
- 当前的方法往往过于简化了决策,专注于科学知识,忽视了更广泛的背景.
- 这可能导致管理策略与实际决策需求脱而出.
研究的目的:
- 建议将野生动物疾病管理重新定义为决策问题.
- 倡导使用决策分析工具来解决这些复杂问题.
- 提高野生动物疾病管理决策的质量,严格性和透明度.
主要方法:
- 基于决策的野生动物疾病管理的概念框架开发.
- 结构化决策 (SDM) 原则的应用.
- 说明性的案例研究包括严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2,白鼻综合征,禽流感和胆菌.
主要成果:
- 确定了有效决策的常见障碍:竞争目标,风险,预测不确定性和资源限制.
- 展示了SDM如何将复杂的问题分解为可管理的元素.
- 强调SDM有潜力提高科学信息的相关性和适用性.
结论:
- 野生动物疾病管理需要从纯粹的科学问题框架转向决策问题方法.
- 结构化的决策提供了一个强大的框架,用于应对复杂的野生动物疾病挑战.
- 采用决策分析工具可以带来更有效,更透明,更符合环境的管理结果.
相关概念视频
Threats to Biodiversity
22.2K
There have been five major extinction events throughout geological history, resulting in the elimination of biodiversity, followed by a rebound of species that adapted to the new conditions. In the current geological epoch, the Holocene, there is a sixth extinction event in progress. This mass extinction has been attributed to human activities and is thus provisionally called the Anthropocene. In 2019 the human population reached 7.7 billion people and is projected to comprise 10 billion by...
22.2K
Methods of Documentation VI: Case Management Model
569
The case management model is a multidisciplinary approach that involves healthcare professionals from diverse disciplines, such as physicians, nurses, therapists, social workers, and pharmacists, working collaboratively to address the various needs of patients. Each healthcare professional brings unique expertise and perspectives, contributing to a more comprehensive understanding of the patient's condition and tailoring treatment plans accordingly.
For example, a patient with a chronic...
For example, a patient with a chronic...
569
Steps in Outbreak Investigation
123
In the ever-evolving field of public health, statistical analysis serves as a cornerstone for understanding and managing disease outbreaks. By leveraging various statistical tools, health professionals can predict potential outbreaks, analyze ongoing situations, and devise effective responses to mitigate impact. For that to happen, there are a few possible stages of the analysis:
123
Conservation of Small Populations
13.1K
Small population sizes put a species at extreme risk of extinction due to a lack of variation, and a consequent decrease in adaptability. This weakens the chances of survival under pressures such as climate change, competition from other species, or new diseases. Large populations are more likely to survive pressures such as these, as such populations are more likely to harbor individuals that have genetic variants that are adaptive under new stresses. Small populations are much less...
13.1K
Strategies for Assessing and Addressing Confounding
93
Confounding is a critical issue in epidemiological studies, often leading to misleading conclusions about associations between exposures and outcomes. It occurs when the relationship between the exposure and the outcome is mixed with the effects of other factors that influence the outcome. Given that, addressing confounding is of high importance for drawing accurate inferences in research.
Confounding can be addressed at both the design phase of a study and through analytical methods after data...
Confounding can be addressed at both the design phase of a study and through analytical methods after data...
93
Models of Health Promotion and Illness Prevention II
1.6K
The person's health status fluctuates continually, varying from being in good health to becoming ill and returning to being healthy. To understand the concept of illness prevention, there are two models. First, the health-illness continuum model is a graphic representation of an individual's wellness. It states that a person is considered healthy in the absence of physical disease and the presence of good emotional health.
The agent-host-environment model states that disease results...
The agent-host-environment model states that disease results...
1.6K


