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由于乳牛疾病造成的全球损失:经随病调整后的经济分析
Philip Rasmussen1, Herman W Barkema2, Prince P Osei3
1Section of Animal Welfare and Disease Control, Department Veterinary and Animal Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen DK-1870, Denmark; Section of Epidemiology, Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Zurich, Zurich CH 0857, Switzerland; Global Burden of Animal Diseases (GBADs), Liverpool L69 3BX, United Kingdom.
Journal of dairy science
|May 24, 2024
概括
乳牛疾病每年给全球经济造成650亿美元的损失. 亚临床症,临床乳腺炎和亚临床乳腺炎是最昂贵的,对全球的牛奶生产和牛群健康产生重大经济影响.
科学领域:
- 兽医经济学 兽医经济学
- 动物健康管理 动物健康管理
- 乳制品生产系统 乳制品生产系统
背景情况:
- 乳牛疾病显著影响牛奶产量,生育率和屠宰率.
- 估计这些疾病的全球经济负担对于有效的管理战略至关重要.
- 之前的评估可能高估了由于未经调整的并发症造成的损失.
研究的目的:
- 为了估计12种常见的乳牛疾病和健康状况对全球经济的影响.
- 量化牛奶生产国家的特定疾病造成的年度财务损失.
- 评估并发性调整对估计的经济损失总额的影响.
主要方法:
- 在183个生产牛奶的国家进行了经济模拟.
- 分析了有关疾病对牛奶产量,生育能力和杀的影响的文献数据.
- 利用蒙特卡洛模拟,调整并发性疾病影响和国家一级数据.
主要成果:
- 据估计,由于12种乳牛疾病造成的全球年度损失总额为650亿美元.
- 亚临床症 (18亿美元),临床乳腺炎 (13亿美元) 和亚临床乳腺炎 (9亿美元) 是最昂贵的疾病.
- 如果未能调整并发症,可能导致全球总损失高估45%.
结论:
- 乳牛疾病对全球经济造成巨大负担,需要有针对性的干预措施.
- 准确的经济影响评估需要考虑疾病的相互依赖性 (共同疾病).
- 这些疾病的相对经济负担在各国之间有很大差异,影响国家经济影响.
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