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预测在丹麦和瑞典的社会经济地位生存到退休年龄的不平等
Cosmo Strozza1, Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher2, Julia Callaway2
1Interdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark. cstrozza@health.sdu.dk.
概括
根据预期寿命指数的法定退休年龄对社会经济地位较低的个人产生了不成比例的影响,降低了他们的退休机会. 这种政策可能会将利益从短暂的低SES转移到长期的高SES群体.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 社会政策 社会政策 社会政策
背景情况:
- 丹麦和瑞典的法定退休年龄与预期寿命挂.
- 在社会经济地位 (SES) 群体中,死亡率的改善并不均.
- 较低的SES群体的死亡率改善速度较慢,从而造成潜在的不平等.
研究的目的:
- 通过SES在丹麦和瑞典量化和语境化死亡率不平等.
- 评估索引退休年龄对SES未来退休存活率的影响.
主要方法:
- 使用了丹麦和瑞典的登记数据 (1988-2019) 对于50岁以上的个人.
- 计算的周期生命表按年,性别和SES分层.
- 雇佣模式和Li-Lee模型用于跨SES群体的死亡率预测.
主要成果:
- 根据SES的死亡率不平等在丹麦和瑞典之间是可比的.
- 索引退休年龄会降低所有SES群体,特别是低SES群体,达到退休的可能性.
- 退休的时间缩短了,特别是在高SES人群中.
结论:
- 退休年龄与预期寿命的统一索引可能会加剧现有的社会经济健康差异.
- 这一政策可能会导致退休福利的意外反向重新分配.
- 未来的政策考虑应该解决SES特定的死亡率趋势.
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