子除与牛养殖者风险补偿行为有关吗?
Lucy Brunton1, Gareth Enticott2
1Veterinary Epidemiology, Economics and Public Health Group, Royal Veterinary College, Hatfield, UK.
The Veterinary record
|May 29, 2024
概括
为了控制牛结核病,屠杀大并没有导致农民获得风险补偿. 反应性杀减少了牛的移动,表明农业系统的惯性,而不是寻求风险的行为.
科学领域:
- 兽医流行病学 兽医流行病学
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 风险补偿理论认为,在风险降低干预后,个人可能会采取更有风险的行为来保持感知平衡.
- 另外,干预措施可能会导致溢出效应,鼓励进一步降低风险.
- 这项研究调查了农民对子杀的行为反应,这是一种旨在降低牛结核病 (bTB) 风险的干预措施.
研究的目的:
- 评估农民是否表现出风险补偿或降低风险的行为,以应对子杀为bTB控制.
- 分析与不同屠宰策略相关的农民牛转移实践.
主要方法:
- 重新分析了英国随机杀试验数据.
- 在主动杀,反应性杀和控制区域的农民牛转移实践的比较.
- 使用零膨胀负二项式回归进行统计分析,以比较试验期间和之后的牛流动.
主要成果:
- 在接受主动子杀的农民中没有观察到风险补偿行为的显著证据.
- 反应性屠宰地区的农民表现出牛的移动量大幅减少.
- 这些发现表明,农业系统在牛购买决策方面存在相当大的惯性.
结论:
- 积极淘汰大并没有引起农民的风险补偿行为.
- 反应性子杀与与牛转移相关的冒险行为减少有关.
- 作为对bTB干预措施的反应,农民的行为是复杂的,可能以惯性为特征.
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