泰国的贸易开放,技术创新,工业化,金融发展和碳排放之间的因果关系因时间而异
Nguyen Thi Quy1,2, Nguyen Chi Hai1,2, Ha Thi Thieu Dao3
1University of Economics and Law, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
PloS one
|May 31, 2024
概括
通过工业化和技术产生的经济增长会影响二氧化碳排放. 这项研究揭示了泰国贸易,金融,工业,创新和排放之间的动态,双向联系,这对碳中和政策至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 工业化和技术进步推动了经济进步,但也导致了环境变化.
- 之前关于金融发展,贸易开放和技术创新的环境影响的研究缺乏确的对称结果.
- 了解时间依赖的影响对于实现碳中和和有效的环境管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查泰国贸易开放,工业化,金融发展,技术创新和二氧化碳排放之间的因果关系.
- 解决现有研究中对称关系假设的局限性.
- 为制定有效的环境政策提供经验证据.
主要方法:
- 利用新的时间变化的格兰杰因果关系测试来分析动态关联.
- 研究了关键经济和环境指标与时间之间的因果关系.
- 与传统的Toda-Yamamoto因果关系测试相反的发现.
主要成果:
- 工业化,金融发展,贸易开放,技术创新和二氧化碳排放之间的因果关系不是静态的,而是随着时间的推移而发生显著变化.
- 这些因素与不同时期的二氧化碳排放之间存在双向关系.
- 时间变化的因果关系结果与静态因果关系分析有很大不同.
结论:
- 这些关系的动态和双向性质需要适应性政策制定,以实现环境管理和碳中和.
- 调查结果强调了在经济和环境研究中考虑时间依赖的影响的重要性.
- 结果为泰国的可持续发展战略提供了关键的见解.
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