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在汽车行业的新进入者的风险识别和优先考虑,采用基于蒙特卡洛的方法
Sarmad Farooq1, Afshan Naseem1, Yasir Ahmad1
1Department of Engineering Management, College of Electrical and Mechanical Engineering (CEME), National University of Sciences & Technology (NUST), Islamabad, Pakistan.
Scientific reports
|May 31, 2024
概括
在发展中国家建立一个新的汽车制造工厂是一项挑战. 主要风险包括货币值,市场竞争和低产品接受率,需要有针对性的国家政策来支持.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 产业政策 产业政策 产业政策
- 风险管理 风险管理
背景情况:
- 汽车行业对于国家经济竞争力至关重要.
- 发展中国家在建立全球汽车业存在方面面临重大障碍.
- 不一致的政策,税收和货币问题阻碍了行业的增长.
研究的目的:
- 识别和优先考虑汽车行业新进入者的风险.
- 为巴基斯坦汽车工业开发风险暴露矩阵.
- 为支持新汽车行业参与者制定国家政策提供信息.
主要方法:
- 文献审查和利益相关者采访 (经销商,经理,客户).
- 蒙特卡洛模拟 (MCS) 的应用.
- 开发一个风险暴露矩阵 (高,中,低).
主要成果:
- 对外汇汇率的货币值是一个关键风险.
- 市场的寡头性质构成了一个重大挑战.
- 由于产品形象,新进入者的市场接受度较低是一个主要问题.
结论:
- 调查结果强调了巴基斯坦汽车工业中最关键的风险.
- 结果可以指导汽车研究机构制定政策.
- 洞察力有助于新进入市场的企业应对行业挑战.
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