生物质和废物发电的生存:全球概述
1Department of Geography, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong.
The Science of the total environment
|June 1, 2024
概括
生物质和废弃物发电机组 (BWPU) 的故障通过确保原料的可访问性和实施诸如入关税和碳定价等政策来减少. 大型单元增加了BWPU故障风险,影响了全球可再生能源的发展.
科学领域:
- 可再生能源可再生能源是可再生能源.
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 能源政策 能源政策
背景情况:
- 生物质和废物发电对于能源安全和减缓气候变化至关重要.
- 尽管有增长,但一些生物质和废弃物发电机组 (BWPU) 面临过早故障,影响行业发展.
- 缺乏对BWPU故障因素的全面全球分析.
研究的目的:
- 量化影响全球生物质和废弃物发电机组 (BWPU) 故障率 (危险比率) 的因素.
- 确定影响BWPU成功的关键决定因素,跨不同阶段和地理背景.
- 为优化生物能源部门发展和投资提供经验证据.
主要方法:
- 参数生存分析应用于2001-2021年12829个BWPU的全球面板数据集.
- 该数据集包括164个国家/地区的使用木质,非木质和废物生物质原料的BWPU.
- 计算了危险比率,以评估单位尺寸,原料可访问性和政策工具对BWPU故障的影响.
主要成果:
- 发现更大的单元大小增加了BWPU故障的风险.
- 提高原料的可访问性显著降低了BWPUs的危险比率.
- 政策工具,包括进口关税和碳定价,在降低BWPU失败率方面是有效的.
结论:
- 原料的可获得性和支持性的政策环境对于生物质和废物发电机组的成功至关重要.
- 解决规模经济不良问题和确保透明的财政工具可以提高投资者对生物能源部门的信心.
- 研究结果为决策者提供了关键的见解,旨在提高全球生物能源基础设施的可靠性和增长.
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