空气污染会在多大程度上影响中国旅游业? 来自小组无条件定量回归的证据
Yuxuan Xiao1, Will W Qiang2, Chung-Shing Chan2
1Pingshan Research Center of Planning and Natural Resources in Shenzhen, Shenzhen, China.
PloS one
|June 7, 2024
概括
空气污染对不太发达地区的旅游业产生了积极的影响. 然而,在旅游业高度发达的地区,这种关系变得复杂,空气质量最终会对旅游业产生负面的整体影响.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 旅游经济学 旅游经济学
- 城市研究 城市研究
背景情况:
- 现有的研究证实了空气污染和旅游业之间的联系,通常假定是线性关系.
- 在空气污染和旅游业之间存在潜在的值仍然未被充分探索.
- 颗粒物2.5 (PM2.5) 是影响环境质量和公共健康的关键空气污染物.
研究的目的:
- 调查PM2.5度对中国旅游业的影响,涉及不同旅游发展水平.
- 确定空气污染和旅游业之间的联系是否存在非线性关系和值.
- 分析旅游资源对空气污染和旅游关系的调节作用.
主要方法:
- 分析了2008年至2018年的284个中国城市的数据.
- 无条件量子回归方法的应用,以检查不同量子的关系.
- 将旅游发展水平和旅游资源作为模型中的关键变量.
主要成果:
- 空气污染对旅游业 (游客和收入) 有积极的影响,而旅游业发展较低的地区.
- 在较高的旅游发展水平上出现了一个复杂的非线性相关性:负面,然后是正面,然后是无效的.
- 空气污染和旅游业之间的总体相关性仍然是负的,旅游业的资源只能在较先进的发展阶段减轻污染的影响.
结论:
- 空气污染对旅游业的影响取决于旅游业发展水平,表现出值效应.
- 旅游资源可以缓冲空气污染的负面影响,但这种影响取决于发展阶段.
- 政策建议得出,强调为不同的旅游发展环境量身定制的战略.
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