一个优化的作物和畜牧系统可以在中国的子盆地水平上实现的安全和公正的行星边界
Ling Liu1, Zhaohai Bai2, Jing Yang1
1Key Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
Nature food
|June 7, 2024
概括
畜牧业生产在中国显著增加了肥的使用和损失. 改善农作物和畜牧系统至关重要,以达到2050年安全限值.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 生态系统管理 生态系统管理
背景情况:
- 中国面临着严重的 (P) 污染和肥料过度使用,影响着行星的边界.
- 畜牧业在中国不平衡中的具体作用尚不清楚.
- 了解这些贡献对于可持续的农业和环境管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化畜牧业对中国肥消费和损失的影响.
- 评估目前中国农作物和畜牧系统中值的超越情况.
- 预测综合系统的潜力,以实现可持续的管理.
主要方法:
- 在子盆地尺度上利用合模型来分析的动态.
- 从1980年到2017年,肥消费和损失的估计变化.
- 根据"只是"使用肥料和"安全"水质门,评估了当前的超值.
主要成果:
- 畜牧业生产导致肥消费增加了五倍,1980年至2017年期间,肥损失增加了两倍.
- 中国目前的农作物和畜牧系统在25个分盆地超过了"仅"P肥的门30%和"安全"水质门45%.
- 观察到P超值的区域差异很大.
结论:
- 综合作物和畜牧系统是中国含量超标的主要原因.
- 优化这些系统对于减轻P污染和确保长期可持续性至关重要.
- 实施改进的作物和牲畜管理可以使所有研究的子盆地在2050年之前达到安全的限.
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