贾妮娜·霍西亚森和证据的价值
1Department of Logic and Philosophy of Science, UC Irvine School of Social Sciences, 3151 Social Sciences Plaza, Irvine, CA 92617, United States of America.
Studies in history and philosophy of science
|June 9, 2024
概括
这篇论文揭示了Janina Hosiasson (1931) 被忽视的作品,作为I.J.的早期前身. 在决策理论和贝叶斯认识论中,Good (1967) 的总证据原则.
科学领域:
- 决策理论 决策理论
- 贝叶斯的认识论贝叶斯的认识论.
- 科学哲学的哲学科学哲学
背景情况:
- 在I.J. 古德 (1967) 的"总证据原则"是决策理论的基础.
- 很好地证明了连贯的代理人应该总是寻求自由的证据.
- 这一结果是由弗兰克·拉姆齐预测的,正如本文所论证的那样,1931年由Janina Hosiasson预测.
研究的目的:
- 为了突出Janina Hosiasson被忽视的1931年论文作为古德原则的先驱.
- 为了将 Hosiasson 在证据价值问题历史中的贡献置于正确的背景下.
- 分析Hosiasson的论点及其与Good (1967) 工作的关系.
主要方法:
- 关于决策理论和贝叶斯认识论的文学评论.
- 证据价值问题的历史分析问题.
- 解释和比较的论点由霍西亚森 (1931) 和好 (1967).
主要成果:
- 贾尼娜·霍西亚森 (Janina Hosiasson) 在1931年的论文中提出了预测I.J.的论点. 好的总证据原则. 总证据.
- 霍西亚森的工作涉及证据价值问题,这是决策理论的一个关键问题.
- 这篇论文将Hosiasson确立为该领域的重要,但被忽视的贡献者.
结论:
- 霍西亚森的1931年作品是古德的总证据原则 (1967年) 之前的,并与之平行.
- 重温霍西亚森的贡献丰富了我们对贝叶斯认识论历史的理解.
- 证据价值问题比人们普遍承认的历史更长,更丰富.
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