伤寒/偏伤寒发烧的流行率和影响因素分析 - 中国,2011-2020年
Shumei Huang1, Meiying Yan2, Biao Kan1,2
1School of Public Health, Shandong University, Jinan City, Shandong Province, China.
China CDC weekly
|June 10, 2024
概括
中国的伤寒/甲状腺热发病率已经下降,病例现在集中在西南地区,并向东转移. 气象和社会经济因素影响疾病的传播,这表明经济改善可以帮助预防.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 空间分析 空间分析
背景情况:
- 在过去的12年里,中国的伤寒/副伤寒发烧病例呈现出一致的下降.
- 了解流行病学模式和影响因素对于有效的控制策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析2011年至2022年在中国发生的伤寒/副伤寒热病的流行病学模式.
- 为了研究空间变化,季节变化,以及影响台风/风发烧发病率的因素.
主要方法:
- 对空间发生率转移的中心点转移分析.
- 用于季节变化分析的热图.
- 空间自相关性和因子评估的概括估计方程.
主要成果:
- 在中国西南部发现的病例的显著地理聚类.
- 由于西方的发病率下降,疾病发病率中心向东移动.
- 在温暖的季节观察到更高的发病率,表明季节性.
- 气象条件和社会经济地位被确定为可能影响因素.
结论:
- 气象和社会经济因素极大地影响了伤寒/型热的地理和时间传播.
- 改善高发病率地区的经济条件可以帮助预防和管理疾病.
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