英国纯血统年销售价的决定因素
Rebecca R Mouncey1, Pablo Alarcon1, Kristien L Verheyen1
1Department of Pathobiology and Population Sciences The Royal Veterinary College Hatfield UK.
Veterinary record open
|June 10, 2024
概括
纯血统年的销售价格受到 sire,dam 和销售属性的影响. 了解这些因素可以帮助英国的育种业务提高利能力,并为行业战略提供信息.
科学领域:
- 马类科学 马类科学
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 动物育种 动物育种
背景情况:
- 许多英国纯种繁殖企业面临财务损失,其中很大一部分年度销售交易是无利可图的.
- 目前的行业战略优先考虑支付费用的马,但缺乏对销售价格决定因素的全面分析,阻碍了为利能力做出明智的经济决策.
研究的目的:
- 确定英国纯种年销售价格的关键决定因素.
- 开发一个模型,可以为养殖和投资决策提供信息,以提高纯种动物行业的利能力.
主要方法:
- 使用英国2020年Tattersalls10月年度销售数据构建了一个享乐性销售价格模型.
- 分析的变量包括 sire,dam,yearling和销售属性,模型准确性使用2021年的销售数据进行验证.
主要成果:
- 爵士的覆盖费,大的后代的比赛表现,大的平价 (第一个小羊),货物的大小,目录的放置,和销售日显著影响了拍卖价格.
- 在这些变量之间观察到复杂的关系,相互作用和混效应.
- 该模型实现了2074英的平均预测误差,尽管使用单一销售数据可能会限制概括性.
结论:
- 确定的销售价格决定因素为优化育种决策和最大限度地提高利能力提供了新的见解.
- 调查结果为当前的行业战略提供了背景,并可以帮助评估繁殖动物的价值.
- 可能需要进一步的研究来确认在不同销售和地区的普遍性.
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