对中国地方政府债务的地理方法
Zhenfa Li1, Fulong Wu1, Fangzhu Zhang1
1University College London, UK.
The Professional geographer : the journal of the Association of American Geographers
|June 13, 2024
概括
中国的地方政府债务因基础设施融资而升,而2015年后的动态转变. 发达程度较低的城市面临着更高的金融风险,尽管中央政府的干预.
科学领域:
- 公共财政是公共财政.
- 城市经济学城市经济学
- 政治经济学就是政治经济学.
背景情况:
- 自2010年代以来,中国的地方政府债务迅速增加,主要是用于基础设施投资.
- 债务工具从成都债券演变为地方政府债券,反映出不断变化的金融法规.
- 了解这种债务的空间动态对于分析政府间财政关系至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 绘制2009年至2020年中国地方政府债务的空间动态图.
- 分析影响中国各城市债券发行模式的因素.
- 评估中央政府政策和地方间竞争对财政风险的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了2009-2020年期间300多个中国城市的数据.
- 采用空间分析技术来追踪债券发行的地理分布和演变.
- 研究了经济状况,中央政府目标和地方政府借款之间的相关性.
主要成果:
- 从2009年到2014年,在经济刺激和城市间竞争的影响下,广泛的大规模债券发行被观察到.
- 2015年后,经济强的城市增加了债券发行,因为中央政府将债务与财政能力结合起来.
- 空间动态显示中央政府干预增加,表明财政集中,但金融风险仍然存在于较不发达的城市.
结论:
- 财政集中并没有有效地减轻中国较不发达城市的金融风险.
- 竞争促使欠发达城市对债券的使用效率低下,导致金融风险比率更高.
- 该研究强调了中央控制,地方财政行为和金融稳定之间的复杂相互作用.
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