一个未来的增长模式,用更少的温室气体来建造更多的住房和基础设施
Keagan H Rankin1, Shoshanna Saxe1
1Department of Civil & Mineral Engineering, University of Toronto, 35 St George Street, Toronto, Ontario M5S 1A4, Canada.
Environmental science & technology
|June 13, 2024
概括
在减少建筑排放的同时满足住房需求是可能的. 未来基础设施增长 (FIG) 模型显示了减少物质排放的途径,以实现可持续建筑和基础设施发展.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 可持续发展 可持续发展 可持续发展
- 城市规划 城市规划
背景情况:
- 全球不断增长的住房需求与气候变化减缓目标相冲突.
- 建筑材料对温室气体排放有很大影响.
- 现有的方法难以预测未来基础设施的体现性排放.
研究的目的:
- 引入未来基础设施增长 (FIG) 模型,这是一种用于预测体内排放的新方法.
- 确定可扩展的战略,以减少新住宅和基础设施建设的排放.
- 分析满足住房需求的途径,同时遵守气候承诺.
主要方法:
- 开发了FIG模型,使用开放数据来量化现有社区的排放量,就像新建一样.
- 预测新住宅建筑和线性基础设施的摇篮到门的体内排放.
- 将该模型应用于加拿大,以评估到2050年的排放驱动因素和减排战略.
主要成果:
- 如果没有干预,如果住房目标得到实现,加拿大将面临超过437%的气候承诺.
- 显著的体内排放源于当前的建筑规范和材料使用.
- 有效的减少策略包括优先考虑多单元建筑,先进设计和材料创新.
结论:
- 实现气候目标需要在建筑实践中进行范式转变.
- 几乎完全依赖于多个单元建筑和最优秀的设计至关重要.
- 改善材料制造,城市填充和减少材料消耗对于可持续的基础设施增长至关重要.
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