在日本COVID-19大流行之前和期间的HIV发病率
Hiroshi Nishiura1, Seiko Fujiwara1, Akifumi Imamura2
1School of Public Health, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan.
Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE
|June 14, 2024
概括
日本 日本 日本 日本 日本.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 传染性疾病 传染性疾病
背景情况:
- 日本到2022年的艾滋病毒和艾滋病监测数据.
- 以前对艾滋病毒发病率和诊断覆盖率的估计.
- COVID-19流行病对艾滋病毒流行病学的影响.
研究的目的:
- 更新日本艾滋病毒发病率的估计.
- 评估COVID-19中断对艾滋病毒流行病学的影响.
- 评估实现诊断覆盖率目标的进展情况.
主要方法:
- 使用平均潜伏期为10.0年的统计模型.
- 估计未诊断的艾滋病毒感染和诊断比例.
- 在COVID-19大流行期间对HIV诊断率的分析.
主要成果:
- 到2022年底,估计有3,209例未被诊断的艾滋病毒感染,这一趋势正在下降.
- 诊断覆盖率估计为89.3% (包括艾滋病病例).
- 在COVID-19大流行期间,年诊断率略低16.5%.
结论:
- 日本正在接近90%的艾滋病毒诊断覆盖率.
- 在COVID-19大流行期间,艾滋病毒发病率继续下降.
- 持续监测诊断恢复和有效生殖数量至关重要.
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