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使用数学建模和新兴热点分析,揭示城市扩张的时空模式的演变
Baoling Gui1, Anshuman Bhardwaj1, Lydia Sam1
1School of Geosciences, University of Aberdeen, King's College, Aberdeen, AB24 3UE, UK.
Journal of environmental management
|June 15, 2024
概括
发展中国家的城市扩张带来了环境挑战. 本研究分析了长沙的情况.
科学领域:
- 城市和区域规划 城市和区域规划
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 地理信息科学 地理信息科学
背景情况:
- 发展中国家的快速城市化导致了重大环境问题.
- 了解城市扩张 (UE) 的复杂动态对于可持续发展至关重要.
- 现有的研究往往难以捕捉城市增长模式的时空复杂性.
研究的目的:
- 引入一个分析框架,用于挖掘城市扩张的时空空间模式.
- 研究长沙市从1990年到2019年的城市增长情况.
- 阐明和量化城市扩张动态在时间和空间上的变化.
主要方法:
- 新兴热点分析 (EHA) 模型用于宏观空间时间分析.
- 数学建模以量化城市扩张与基础设施/地形因素之间的相关性.
- 后勤功能分析建筑区和城市扩张阶段之间的关系.
主要成果:
- 长沙的城市扩张热点在2003年后从市中心转移到外围.
- 铁路站对城市扩张的辐射影响 (8公里) 比地铁站 (3公里) 更大.
- 城市扩张主要发生在温和的斜坡 (1.1°7.5°) 和较低的海拔 (36.178.3米) 上,趋向于较低的海拔.
结论:
- 确定了三个不同的区域城市扩张模式:增长缓慢,迅速升级和下降.
- 确立了微区域建筑面积比例和城市扩张阶段之间的显著相关性.
- 这些发现改善了城市模拟模型,并加深了对城市发展驱动因素的理解.
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