使用新的五天GRACE解决方案,快速绘制全球洪水前体和影响
Ashraf Rateb1, Himanshu Save2, Alexander Y Sun3
1Bureau of Economic Geology, Jackson School of Geosciences, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, 78758, USA. ashraf.rateb@beg.utexas.edu.
Scientific reports
|June 15, 2024
概括
新的5天卫星数据显示,洪水发生前15-50天前,先例总储水 (ATWS) 信号增加. 这一进步改善了全球社区的洪水检测和恢复监测.
科学领域:
- * 水文和地球观测
- * 气候科学与灾害管理
背景情况:
- *洪水对全球社区和生态系统构成重大风险.
- * 早期发现洪水前体和快速评估洪水影响对于抗灾能力至关重要.
研究的目的:
- * 评估5天 (5D) 重力恢复和气候实验 (GRACE) 和GRACE随访 (GRACE-FO) 卫星解决方案对洪水监测的实用性.
- * 为了确定前期总储水 (ATWS) 异常作为洪水前体,并绘制洪水后储水变化图.
主要方法:
- *使用5D GRACE/GRACE-FO卫星解决方案计算ATWS异常情况.
- * ATWS异常与达特斯洪水观测站 (2002-2021) 约3300次洪水事件的比较.
主要成果:
- *在5D GRACE溶液中检测到明确的ATWS前体信号,在和过度排水引起的洪水发生前15至50天.
- *5D解决方案可以更快地绘制洪水后储存变化的地图,以评估热带气旋和极端天气事件的恢复.
- *发现与传统的每月GRACE溶液中观察到的局限性形成鲜明对比.
结论:
- * 5D GRACE 解决方案显示了改善洪水检测和监测系统的巨大潜力.
- *这项技术有助于快速分析储水变化,改善防洪准备和应对.
- * 对于未来的洪水管理策略,建议进一步开发和整合到操作框架中.
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