2012-2021年,与中国流感病毒感染有关的多种原因过度死亡率:基于人口的研究
Tian-Lu Yin1, Ning Chen2, Jin-Yao Zhang1
1Institute of Medical Information, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Frontiers in public health
|June 18, 2024
概括
流感在中国 (2012-2021) 每年造成超过2万例过度死亡,主要影响呼吸道和循环系统疾病. 这些数据有助于公共卫生规划和监测工作.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 传染性疾病 传染性疾病
背景情况:
- 流感病毒感染对全球健康造成重大负担.
- 了解与流感相关的过度死亡率对于公共卫生干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 估计2012年至2021年中国流感病毒感染的过度死亡负担.
- 分析相关的疾病表现和死亡率模式.
主要方法:
- 利用了实验室监测数据,人口统计信息和死亡记录 (2012-2021年).
- 使用负二项式回归模型来计算过度死亡率.
- 以年份,流感亚型和死亡原因为准.
主要成果:
- 在中国,估计年平均流感相关过度死亡人数为201721.78.
- 计算出每10万人口平均每年过度死亡率为14.53.
- 呼吸道和循环系统疾病占流感相关死亡人数的58.50%,表现出明显的时间模式.
结论:
- 流感显著导致过度死亡率,特别是由于呼吸道和循环系统疾病.
- 调查结果可以为早期预警系统和针对性流感监测策略提供信息.
- 提供了准确评估预防成本和公共卫生影响的基础.
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